Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002773 0.002897 0.003024 0.003162 0.003309 0.003461 0.003631
2025-02-16 0.002537 0.002724 0.002922 0.003147 0.003397 0.003666 0.003979
2025-02-23 0.002377 0.002600 0.002842 0.003123 0.003445 0.003802 0.004232
2025-03-02 0.002290 0.002542 0.002821 0.003154 0.003544 0.003988 0.004537
2025-03-09 0.002193 0.002464 0.002769 0.003141 0.003584 0.004100 0.004755
2025-03-16 0.002105 0.002391 0.002716 0.003119 0.003609 0.004191 0.004945
2025-03-23 0.002016 0.002310 0.002650 0.003076 0.003602 0.004238 0.005079
2025-03-30 0.001938 0.002239 0.002591 0.003038 0.003598 0.004286 0.005212
2025-04-06 0.001889 0.002200 0.002567 0.003040 0.003641 0.004391 0.005421
2025-04-13 0.001796 0.002104 0.002471 0.002947 0.003559 0.004334 0.005411
2025-04-20 0.001758 0.002073 0.002453 0.002952 0.003601 0.004435 0.005615
2025-04-27 0.001739 0.002066 0.002464 0.002992 0.003690 0.004599 0.005911
2025-05-04 0.001685 0.002013 0.002416 0.002956 0.003677 0.004628 0.006023
2025-05-11 0.001644 0.001976 0.002387 0.002944 0.003695 0.004701 0.006199
2025-05-18 0.001602 0.001936 0.002353 0.002922 0.003699 0.004753 0.006345
2025-05-25 0.001584 0.001926 0.002356 0.002950 0.003771 0.004900 0.006639
2025-06-01 0.001550 0.001894 0.002330 0.002938 0.003786 0.004967 0.006814
2025-06-08 0.001514 0.001860 0.002300 0.002919 0.003790 0.005018 0.006964
2025-06-15 0.001473 0.001816 0.002256 0.002879 0.003763 0.005021 0.007042
2025-06-22 0.001436 0.001777 0.002217 0.002844 0.003742 0.005033 0.007131
2025-06-29 0.001414 0.001758 0.002205 0.002846 0.003774 0.005122 0.007347
2025-07-06 0.001360 0.001695 0.002132 0.002762 0.003676 0.005014 0.007239
2025-07-13 0.001342 0.001680 0.002123 0.002766 0.003709 0.005104 0.007459